From Longevity to Low Fertility: Evidence Across Countries
TL;DR. Using completed cohort fertility (CCF) for ~30 countries, I link each birth cohort’s early-life life expectancy and income per person (log GDP)-averaged over childhood/adolescence-to that cohort’s completed fertility. Within the same country, cohorts that grew up safer (higher life expectancy) and richer (higher log GDP) tend to end up with lower…