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Italy’s Fertility Collapse Is No Longer About Delay

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Davide Piffer
Mar 03, 2026
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For decades, Italy's extremely low fertility has been explained away as postponement. Women were having children later and later; the mean age at childbirth kept rising; and because of that mechanical shift in timing, the period total fertility rate (TFR) appeared to collapse. Yet completed family size, measured by cohort fertility, did not fall as dram…

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